Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daytime maximum of 20–22°C at Helsinki-Vantaa on August 8, anchoring trader consensus around 21°C (46% implied probability). Typical early-August conditions feature moderate solar insolation moderated by Baltic Sea advection and variable cloud cover that curbs peak heating, consistent with historical climatology showing early-month highs near 20°C. Light showers or increased low-level moisture in some solutions could suppress temperatures toward 20°C (25.5%), while clearer intervals support a 22°C outcome (22%). With resolution two days away, further model updates on boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Helsinki el 8 de agosto?
21°C 44%
20°C 26%
22°C 22%
23°C 6%
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
26%
21°C
44%
22°C
22%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C o más
2%
21°C 44%
20°C 26%
22°C 22%
23°C 6%
16°C o menos
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
26%
21°C
44%
22°C
22%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daytime maximum of 20–22°C at Helsinki-Vantaa on August 8, anchoring trader consensus around 21°C (46% implied probability). Typical early-August conditions feature moderate solar insolation moderated by Baltic Sea advection and variable cloud cover that curbs peak heating, consistent with historical climatology showing early-month highs near 20°C. Light showers or increased low-level moisture in some solutions could suppress temperatures toward 20°C (25.5%), while clearer intervals support a 22°C outcome (22%). With resolution two days away, further model updates on boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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