Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 6, aligning with trader emphasis on that outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and typical summer monsoon flow limit nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity. Seasonal outlooks projecting normal-to-above-normal temperatures further support this narrow distribution, with 28°C at 30% reflecting minor model spread on cloud cover or brief showers. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 6 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 6 de agosto?
27°C 60%
28°C 30%
26°C 14%
25°C 2%
NUEVO
$19,944 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,944 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
60%
28°C
30%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 60%
28°C 30%
26°C 14%
25°C 2%
NUEVO
$19,944 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,944 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$381 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,872 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,669 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,550 Vol.
14%
27°C
$2,748 Vol.
60%
28°C
$3,413 Vol.
30%
29°C
$4,651 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$939 Vol.
<1%
31°C o más
$935 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 6, aligning with trader emphasis on that outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and typical summer monsoon flow limit nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity. Seasonal outlooks projecting normal-to-above-normal temperatures further support this narrow distribution, with 28°C at 30% reflecting minor model spread on cloud cover or brief showers. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$19,944Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 6, aligning with trader emphasis on that outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and typical summer monsoon flow limit nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity. Seasonal outlooks projecting normal-to-above-normal temperatures further support this narrow distribution, with 28°C at 30% reflecting minor model spread on cloud cover or brief showers. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,944Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 6, aligning with trader emphasis on that outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and typical summer monsoon flow limit nocturnal cooling, keeping overnight lows in the 26–28°C range amid high humidity. Seasonal outlooks projecting normal-to-above-normal temperatures further support this narrow distribution, with 28°C at 30% reflecting minor model spread on cloud cover or brief showers. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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