Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a maximum near 33°C on August 6 under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover. Typical August climatology already favors daytime peaks of 31–33°C, with recent seasonal guidance indicating normal to above-normal temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C outcomes because urban heat-island effects and minor convective development can shift the official reading by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes remain low absent any incoming monsoon surge or tropical disturbance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 6 de agosto?
33°C 46%
32°C 28%
34°C 23%
35°C 4%
NUEVO
$69,440 Vol.
NUEVO
$69,440 Vol.
6 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
28%
33°C
46%
34°C
23%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 28%
34°C 23%
35°C 4%
NUEVO
$69,440 Vol.
NUEVO
$69,440 Vol.
6 ago 2026
27°C or below
$6,798 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,869 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,164 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,774 Vol.
1%
31°C
$8,914 Vol.
3%
32°C
$14,748 Vol.
28%
33°C
$11,622 Vol.
46%
34°C
$5,559 Vol.
23%
35°C
$4,690 Vol.
4%
36°C
$2,882 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,420 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a maximum near 33°C on August 6 under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover. Typical August climatology already favors daytime peaks of 31–33°C, with recent seasonal guidance indicating normal to above-normal temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C outcomes because urban heat-island effects and minor convective development can shift the official reading by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes remain low absent any incoming monsoon surge or tropical disturbance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$69,440Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a maximum near 33°C on August 6 under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover. Typical August climatology already favors daytime peaks of 31–33°C, with recent seasonal guidance indicating normal to above-normal temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C outcomes because urban heat-island effects and minor convective development can shift the official reading by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes remain low absent any incoming monsoon surge or tropical disturbance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$69,440Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models point to a maximum near 33°C on August 6 under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, light winds, and strong solar heating with minimal cloud cover. Typical August climatology already favors daytime peaks of 31–33°C, with recent seasonal guidance indicating normal to above-normal temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions. Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C outcomes because urban heat-island effects and minor convective development can shift the official reading by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes remain low absent any incoming monsoon surge or tropical disturbance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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