Current forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 31–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity, southeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Official guidance shows scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, which would cap afternoon peaks and explain the strong market weighting toward 32°C at 64.5% implied probability versus 33°C at 35.5%. Recent model runs and hourly observations align with climatological August averages of 32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent a clear-air surge. Traders are monitoring real-time updates from Shenzhen’s meteorological bureau for any late-day revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 5 de agosto?
32°C 90%
33°C 6%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
$89,052 Vol.
$89,052 Vol.
5 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
90%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 90%
33°C 6%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
$89,052 Vol.
$89,052 Vol.
5 ago 2026
27°C or below
$566 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,921 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,738 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,856 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10,651 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,175 Vol.
90%
33°C
$8,269 Vol.
6%
34°C
$6,672 Vol.
5%
35°C
$10,287 Vol.
1%
36°C
$10,328 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$21,590 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 31–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity, southeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Official guidance shows scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, which would cap afternoon peaks and explain the strong market weighting toward 32°C at 64.5% implied probability versus 33°C at 35.5%. Recent model runs and hourly observations align with climatological August averages of 32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent a clear-air surge. Traders are monitoring real-time updates from Shenzhen’s meteorological bureau for any late-day revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$89,052Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 31–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity, southeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Official guidance shows scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, which would cap afternoon peaks and explain the strong market weighting toward 32°C at 64.5% implied probability versus 33°C at 35.5%. Recent model runs and hourly observations align with climatological August averages of 32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent a clear-air surge. Traders are monitoring real-time updates from Shenzhen’s meteorological bureau for any late-day revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$89,052Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 31–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity, southeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Official guidance shows scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, which would cap afternoon peaks and explain the strong market weighting toward 32°C at 64.5% implied probability versus 33°C at 35.5%. Recent model runs and hourly observations align with climatological August averages of 32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent a clear-air surge. Traders are monitoring real-time updates from Shenzhen’s meteorological bureau for any late-day revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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