Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy August 7 in Tokyo with a projected overnight low near 25°C, though ensemble models and regional variability introduce uncertainty that clusters around 26–27°C. Persistent Pacific high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the 23.9°C climatological normal. Limited overnight cloud breaks or minor frontal influences could tip the outcome between the two leading market-implied probabilities, while historical August patterns and current above-normal seasonal guidance support the tight contest. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 7 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 7 de agosto?
26°C 47%
27°C 47%
28°C 4%
24°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 47%
28°C 4%
24°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$149 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$114 Vol.
3%
25°C
$66 Vol.
3%
26°C
$561 Vol.
47%
27°C
$306 Vol.
47%
28°C
$77 Vol.
4%
29°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$226 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy August 7 in Tokyo with a projected overnight low near 25°C, though ensemble models and regional variability introduce uncertainty that clusters around 26–27°C. Persistent Pacific high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the 23.9°C climatological normal. Limited overnight cloud breaks or minor frontal influences could tip the outcome between the two leading market-implied probabilities, while historical August patterns and current above-normal seasonal guidance support the tight contest. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,261Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy August 7 in Tokyo with a projected overnight low near 25°C, though ensemble models and regional variability introduce uncertainty that clusters around 26–27°C. Persistent Pacific high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the 23.9°C climatological normal. Limited overnight cloud breaks or minor frontal influences could tip the outcome between the two leading market-implied probabilities, while historical August patterns and current above-normal seasonal guidance support the tight contest. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,261Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a mostly cloudy August 7 in Tokyo with a projected overnight low near 25°C, though ensemble models and regional variability introduce uncertainty that clusters around 26–27°C. Persistent Pacific high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect suppress radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the 23.9°C climatological normal. Limited overnight cloud breaks or minor frontal influences could tip the outcome between the two leading market-implied probabilities, while historical August patterns and current above-normal seasonal guidance support the tight contest. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes