Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with early August climatology for the Yangtze Delta, where typical lows range 25–28°C and recent observations have hovered around 27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 28°C, incorporates this model agreement while assigning lower weight to 26°C or 29°C scenarios that would require sharper shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 6 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 6 de agosto?
28°C 47%
27°C 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
22°C o menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
17%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C o más
1%
28°C 47%
27°C 25%
29°C 17%
26°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
1%
24°C
$57 Vol.
1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
2%
26°C
$22 Vol.
6%
27°C
$32 Vol.
25%
28°C
$261 Vol.
47%
29°C
$145 Vol.
17%
30°C
$57 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C o más
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with early August climatology for the Yangtze Delta, where typical lows range 25–28°C and recent observations have hovered around 27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 28°C, incorporates this model agreement while assigning lower weight to 26°C or 29°C scenarios that would require sharper shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$638Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with early August climatology for the Yangtze Delta, where typical lows range 25–28°C and recent observations have hovered around 27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 28°C, incorporates this model agreement while assigning lower weight to 26°C or 29°C scenarios that would require sharper shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$638Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with early August climatology for the Yangtze Delta, where typical lows range 25–28°C and recent observations have hovered around 27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 28°C, incorporates this model agreement while assigning lower weight to 26°C or 29°C scenarios that would require sharper shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine the exact threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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