Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models and observational data indicate Shanghai will see a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, supported by typical early-August climatology featuring overnight lows of 25–28°C amid high humidity and limited cooling. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable subtropical high pressure and light winds, align with this outcome, producing strong trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential model revisions from unexpected cloud cover increases or localized measurement variations at official stations, though historical analogs and ensemble runs show low likelihood of dropping below 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?
27°C 99%
26°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,634 Vol.
$33,634 Vol.
5 ago 2026
22°C o menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
27°C 99%
26°C 1.4%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,634 Vol.
$33,634 Vol.
5 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$1,016 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,672 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,142 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,750 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,901 Vol.
1%
27°C
$4,585 Vol.
99%
28°C
$3,587 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,246 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,871 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$2,353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models and observational data indicate Shanghai will see a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, supported by typical early-August climatology featuring overnight lows of 25–28°C amid high humidity and limited cooling. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable subtropical high pressure and light winds, align with this outcome, producing strong trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential model revisions from unexpected cloud cover increases or localized measurement variations at official stations, though historical analogs and ensemble runs show low likelihood of dropping below 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$33,634Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models and observational data indicate Shanghai will see a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, supported by typical early-August climatology featuring overnight lows of 25–28°C amid high humidity and limited cooling. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable subtropical high pressure and light winds, align with this outcome, producing strong trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential model revisions from unexpected cloud cover increases or localized measurement variations at official stations, though historical analogs and ensemble runs show low likelihood of dropping below 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,634Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models and observational data indicate Shanghai will see a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, supported by typical early-August climatology featuring overnight lows of 25–28°C amid high humidity and limited cooling. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable subtropical high pressure and light winds, align with this outcome, producing strong trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential model revisions from unexpected cloud cover increases or localized measurement variations at official stations, though historical analogs and ensemble runs show low likelihood of dropping below 26°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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