**Summer heat in Chengdu's subtropical monsoon climate routinely drives maximum temperatures above 35°C in early August, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies showing highs in the mid-30s or warmer for August 5 amid ongoing seasonal warmth and high humidity.** Historical data confirm frequent exceedances of this threshold during the peak of the hot season, supported by model consensus projecting limited cooling from scattered showers. The market's 100% implied probability for 35°C or higher reflects traders' assessment of these persistent atmospheric conditions and low odds of an unexpected frontal passage or heavy rainfall suppressing the daily peak. Only an atypical surge of cooler air or measurement revision at official stations could alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 5 de agosto?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,702 Vol.
$62,702 Vol.
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,702 Vol.
$62,702 Vol.
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
$414 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,856 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,684 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,371 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,590 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,061 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$19,351 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$10,651 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$17,068 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Summer heat in Chengdu's subtropical monsoon climate routinely drives maximum temperatures above 35°C in early August, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies showing highs in the mid-30s or warmer for August 5 amid ongoing seasonal warmth and high humidity.** Historical data confirm frequent exceedances of this threshold during the peak of the hot season, supported by model consensus projecting limited cooling from scattered showers. The market's 100% implied probability for 35°C or higher reflects traders' assessment of these persistent atmospheric conditions and low odds of an unexpected frontal passage or heavy rainfall suppressing the daily peak. Only an atypical surge of cooler air or measurement revision at official stations could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$62,702Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Summer heat in Chengdu's subtropical monsoon climate routinely drives maximum temperatures above 35°C in early August, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies showing highs in the mid-30s or warmer for August 5 amid ongoing seasonal warmth and high humidity.** Historical data confirm frequent exceedances of this threshold during the peak of the hot season, supported by model consensus projecting limited cooling from scattered showers. The market's 100% implied probability for 35°C or higher reflects traders' assessment of these persistent atmospheric conditions and low odds of an unexpected frontal passage or heavy rainfall suppressing the daily peak. Only an atypical surge of cooler air or measurement revision at official stations could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$62,702Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Summer heat in Chengdu's subtropical monsoon climate routinely drives maximum temperatures above 35°C in early August, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies showing highs in the mid-30s or warmer for August 5 amid ongoing seasonal warmth and high humidity.** Historical data confirm frequent exceedances of this threshold during the peak of the hot season, supported by model consensus projecting limited cooling from scattered showers. The market's 100% implied probability for 35°C or higher reflects traders' assessment of these persistent atmospheric conditions and low odds of an unexpected frontal passage or heavy rainfall suppressing the daily peak. Only an atypical surge of cooler air or measurement revision at official stations could alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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