**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 27–29°C for Shanghai on August 7, reflecting the market-implied probabilities of 18.5% (27°C), 47% (28°C), and 33.5% (29°C).** These levels align with short-term model guidance showing overnight lows in that narrow band amid persistent summer heat. Shanghai’s August climate features high humidity, weak nighttime radiative cooling due to cloud cover and urban heat retention, and typical minima near 25–26°C. Recent observations indicate elevated readings, with early-August lows around 26.8–27.4°C and daytime maxima exceeding 35°C, consistent with above-average conditions. Forecast ensembles point to continued light winds, possible scattered showers, and no strong cold-air intrusion before August 7, keeping minima from dropping much below 27°C while limiting upside to the low 30s. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or ECMWF updates on steering patterns and precipitation timing represent the next catalysts that could shift probabilities within the 27–29°C cluster.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 7 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 7 de agosto?
28°C 47%
29°C 34%
27°C 19%
31°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
47%
29°C
34%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
5%
33°C o más
1%
28°C 47%
29°C 34%
27°C 19%
31°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$85 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$30 Vol.
1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
5%
26°C
$20 Vol.
3%
27°C
$20 Vol.
19%
28°C
$20 Vol.
47%
29°C
$24 Vol.
34%
30°C
$38 Vol.
1%
31°C
$38 Vol.
6%
32°C
$50 Vol.
5%
33°C o más
$75 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 27–29°C for Shanghai on August 7, reflecting the market-implied probabilities of 18.5% (27°C), 47% (28°C), and 33.5% (29°C).** These levels align with short-term model guidance showing overnight lows in that narrow band amid persistent summer heat.
Shanghai’s August climate features high humidity, weak nighttime radiative cooling due to cloud cover and urban heat retention, and typical minima near 25–26°C. Recent observations indicate elevated readings, with early-August lows around 26.8–27.4°C and daytime maxima exceeding 35°C, consistent with above-average conditions. Forecast ensembles point to continued light winds, possible scattered showers, and no strong cold-air intrusion before August 7, keeping minima from dropping much below 27°C while limiting upside to the low 30s.
Upcoming National Meteorological Center or ECMWF updates on steering patterns and precipitation timing represent the next catalysts that could shift probabilities within the 27–29°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$437Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 27–29°C for Shanghai on August 7, reflecting the market-implied probabilities of 18.5% (27°C), 47% (28°C), and 33.5% (29°C).** These levels align with short-term model guidance showing overnight lows in that narrow band amid persistent summer heat.
Shanghai’s August climate features high humidity, weak nighttime radiative cooling due to cloud cover and urban heat retention, and typical minima near 25–26°C. Recent observations indicate elevated readings, with early-August lows around 26.8–27.4°C and daytime maxima exceeding 35°C, consistent with above-average conditions. Forecast ensembles point to continued light winds, possible scattered showers, and no strong cold-air intrusion before August 7, keeping minima from dropping much below 27°C while limiting upside to the low 30s.
Upcoming National Meteorological Center or ECMWF updates on steering patterns and precipitation timing represent the next catalysts that could shift probabilities within the 27–29°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$437Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 27–29°C for Shanghai on August 7, reflecting the market-implied probabilities of 18.5% (27°C), 47% (28°C), and 33.5% (29°C).** These levels align with short-term model guidance showing overnight lows in that narrow band amid persistent summer heat. Shanghai’s August climate features high humidity, weak nighttime radiative cooling due to cloud cover and urban heat retention, and typical minima near 25–26°C. Recent observations indicate elevated readings, with early-August lows around 26.8–27.4°C and daytime maxima exceeding 35°C, consistent with above-average conditions. Forecast ensembles point to continued light winds, possible scattered showers, and no strong cold-air intrusion before August 7, keeping minima from dropping much below 27°C while limiting upside to the low 30s. Upcoming National Meteorological Center or ECMWF updates on steering patterns and precipitation timing represent the next catalysts that could shift probabilities within the 27–29°C cluster.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes