Recent high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 34°C at 44.5% and 33°C at 26.5%. Ensemble model spreads and recent observations from prior days near 31°C highlight modest uncertainty around afternoon peaks, influenced by local urban heat effects and potential for limited cloud cover or weak frontal passage. Official DWD station data at resolution time will determine the exact outcome amid typical summer variability above the 22–25°C August climatological average.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 5 de agosto?
34°C 45%
33°C 26%
35°C 12%
32°C 11%
$59,188 Vol.
$59,188 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
26%
34°C
45%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
33°C 26%
35°C 12%
32°C 11%
$59,188 Vol.
$59,188 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
26%
34°C
45%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C in Munich on August 5. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied odds for 34°C at 44.5% and 33°C at 26.5%. Ensemble model spreads and recent observations from prior days near 31°C highlight modest uncertainty around afternoon peaks, influenced by local urban heat effects and potential for limited cloud cover or weak frontal passage. Official DWD station data at resolution time will determine the exact outcome amid typical summer variability above the 22–25°C August climatological average.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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