Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Munich on August 7, underpinning the 32.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and closely clustered odds for 26–28°C. A transitional synoptic pattern with moderating high pressure, possible afternoon cloud buildup, and light winds limits further warming despite the early-August heatwave that produced 31–36°C readings earlier in the week. Forecast uncertainty stems from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any showers, which could shave 1–2°C off the daily high; traders monitor the next high-resolution DWD update and surface observations for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 7 de agosto?
27°C 32%
28°C 26%
26°C 22%
25°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 32%
28°C 26%
26°C 22%
25°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
21°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
2%
23°C
$7 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$20 Vol.
8%
26°C
$50 Vol.
22%
27°C
$20 Vol.
32%
28°C
$27 Vol.
26%
29°C
$16 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Munich on August 7, underpinning the 32.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and closely clustered odds for 26–28°C. A transitional synoptic pattern with moderating high pressure, possible afternoon cloud buildup, and light winds limits further warming despite the early-August heatwave that produced 31–36°C readings earlier in the week. Forecast uncertainty stems from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any showers, which could shave 1–2°C off the daily high; traders monitor the next high-resolution DWD update and surface observations for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$189Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Munich on August 7, underpinning the 32.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and closely clustered odds for 26–28°C. A transitional synoptic pattern with moderating high pressure, possible afternoon cloud buildup, and light winds limits further warming despite the early-August heatwave that produced 31–36°C readings earlier in the week. Forecast uncertainty stems from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any showers, which could shave 1–2°C off the daily high; traders monitor the next high-resolution DWD update and surface observations for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$189Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst ensemble runs point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Munich on August 7, underpinning the 32.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and closely clustered odds for 26–28°C. A transitional synoptic pattern with moderating high pressure, possible afternoon cloud buildup, and light winds limits further warming despite the early-August heatwave that produced 31–36°C readings earlier in the week. Forecast uncertainty stems from model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any showers, which could shave 1–2°C off the daily high; traders monitor the next high-resolution DWD update and surface observations for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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