Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for central Texas points to a mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking in the upper 90s to low 100s on August 6, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 98–101 °F. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintain above-normal temperatures near the climatological peak, while any afternoon cumulus buildup or subtle moisture return could cap readings near 98–99 °F. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends, keeping the 96–97 °F and 100–101 °F bins competitive. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 6 de agosto?
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 13%
102-103°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
13%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 13%
102-103°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
89°F o menos
$10 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$118 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$82 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$42 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$101 Vol.
13%
98-99°F
$56 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$55 Vol.
36%
102-103°F
$84 Vol.
8%
104-105°F
$123 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$72 Vol.
<1%
108°F o más
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for central Texas points to a mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking in the upper 90s to low 100s on August 6, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 98–101 °F. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintain above-normal temperatures near the climatological peak, while any afternoon cumulus buildup or subtle moisture return could cap readings near 98–99 °F. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends, keeping the 96–97 °F and 100–101 °F bins competitive. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$774Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for central Texas points to a mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking in the upper 90s to low 100s on August 6, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 98–101 °F. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintain above-normal temperatures near the climatological peak, while any afternoon cumulus buildup or subtle moisture return could cap readings near 98–99 °F. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends, keeping the 96–97 °F and 100–101 °F bins competitive. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$774Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for central Texas points to a mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking in the upper 90s to low 100s on August 6, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 98–101 °F. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow maintain above-normal temperatures near the climatological peak, while any afternoon cumulus buildup or subtle moisture return could cap readings near 98–99 °F. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to exact boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint trends, keeping the 96–97 °F and 100–101 °F bins competitive. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the final distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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