Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 33°C for Shanghai on August 6 under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light winds, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers limiting further warming. Historical late-summer climatology for the region shows typical highs of 31–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (45.5%) and 34°C (30.5%) outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and China Meteorological Administration station data remain the primary catalysts, keeping lower probabilities on extremes above 35°C or below 32°C while reflecting modest uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 6 de agosto?
33°C 47%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 6%
NUEVO
$16,731 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,731 Vol.
6 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
47%
34°C
31%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 6%
NUEVO
$16,731 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,731 Vol.
6 ago 2026
27°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,004 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,029 Vol.
4%
32°C
$3,554 Vol.
18%
33°C
$1,624 Vol.
47%
34°C
$3,277 Vol.
31%
35°C
$2,032 Vol.
6%
36°C
$941 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$755 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 33°C for Shanghai on August 6 under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light winds, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers limiting further warming. Historical late-summer climatology for the region shows typical highs of 31–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (45.5%) and 34°C (30.5%) outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and China Meteorological Administration station data remain the primary catalysts, keeping lower probabilities on extremes above 35°C or below 32°C while reflecting modest uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$16,731Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 33°C for Shanghai on August 6 under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light winds, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers limiting further warming. Historical late-summer climatology for the region shows typical highs of 31–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (45.5%) and 34°C (30.5%) outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and China Meteorological Administration station data remain the primary catalysts, keeping lower probabilities on extremes above 35°C or below 32°C while reflecting modest uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,731Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a daily maximum near 33°C for Shanghai on August 6 under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with light winds, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers limiting further warming. Historical late-summer climatology for the region shows typical highs of 31–34°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (45.5%) and 34°C (30.5%) outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and China Meteorological Administration station data remain the primary catalysts, keeping lower probabilities on extremes above 35°C or below 32°C while reflecting modest uncertainty from potential convective activity or slight steering variations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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