Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 5 de agosto?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 7.5%
NUEVO
$25,727 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,727 Vol.
5 ago 2026
75°F o menos
<1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 7.5%
NUEVO
$25,727 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,727 Vol.
5 ago 2026
75°F o menos
$7,350 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,736 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$2,161 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$3,839 Vol.
36%
82-83°F
$1,616 Vol.
23%
84-85°F
$3,791 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$1,832 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$903 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$547 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$524 Vol.
<1%
94°F o más
$483 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$25,727Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,727Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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