Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS drive the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C for Panama City’s August 7 maximum, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that modulates daytime heating. Above-average readings stem from a stronger-than-normal subtropical ridge and reduced rainfall suppression compared with the 29–30°C climatological baseline. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and steering winds create the tight spread, while official observations tomorrow will resolve the outcome. Traders weigh these factors against the stable tropical regime that rarely deviates sharply in early August.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 7 de agosto?
33°C 37%
34°C 33%
32°C 22%
31°C 8%
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
37%
34°C
33%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C o más
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 33%
32°C 22%
31°C 8%
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
37%
34°C
33%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS drive the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C for Panama City’s August 7 maximum, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that modulates daytime heating. Above-average readings stem from a stronger-than-normal subtropical ridge and reduced rainfall suppression compared with the 29–30°C climatological baseline. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and steering winds create the tight spread, while official observations tomorrow will resolve the outcome. Traders weigh these factors against the stable tropical regime that rarely deviates sharply in early August.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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