Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a cooler-than-average day on August 7 in São Paulo, driven by increased cloud cover, rainfall (around 20 mm in some projections), and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This aligns with typical early-August winter conditions under subtropical high pressure, where average highs range 23–25°C, but recent model runs favor maxima near or below 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 22°C or below, incorporates this short-term cooling signal alongside historical baselines and the low likelihood of extreme anomalies exceeding 28°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Institute updates and refined model ensembles over the next 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 7 de agosto?
22°C or below 37%
25°C 15%
24°C 13%
26°C 13%
NUEVO
$19,369 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,369 Vol.
7 ago 2026
22°C or below
37%
23°C
12%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
13%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 37%
25°C 15%
24°C 13%
26°C 13%
NUEVO
$19,369 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,369 Vol.
7 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5,058 Vol.
37%
23°C
$2,150 Vol.
12%
24°C
$2,641 Vol.
13%
25°C
$2,245 Vol.
15%
26°C
$2,605 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,433 Vol.
9%
28°C
$1,263 Vol.
6%
29°C
$1,023 Vol.
3%
30°C
$370 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a cooler-than-average day on August 7 in São Paulo, driven by increased cloud cover, rainfall (around 20 mm in some projections), and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This aligns with typical early-August winter conditions under subtropical high pressure, where average highs range 23–25°C, but recent model runs favor maxima near or below 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 22°C or below, incorporates this short-term cooling signal alongside historical baselines and the low likelihood of extreme anomalies exceeding 28°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Institute updates and refined model ensembles over the next 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$19,369Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a cooler-than-average day on August 7 in São Paulo, driven by increased cloud cover, rainfall (around 20 mm in some projections), and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This aligns with typical early-August winter conditions under subtropical high pressure, where average highs range 23–25°C, but recent model runs favor maxima near or below 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 22°C or below, incorporates this short-term cooling signal alongside historical baselines and the low likelihood of extreme anomalies exceeding 28°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Institute updates and refined model ensembles over the next 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,369Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a cooler-than-average day on August 7 in São Paulo, driven by increased cloud cover, rainfall (around 20 mm in some projections), and a passing frontal system that limits solar heating and daytime warming. This aligns with typical early-August winter conditions under subtropical high pressure, where average highs range 23–25°C, but recent model runs favor maxima near or below 22–24°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 22°C or below, incorporates this short-term cooling signal alongside historical baselines and the low likelihood of extreme anomalies exceeding 28°C. Upcoming National Meteorological Institute updates and refined model ensembles over the next 24 hours could further refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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