Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing currently indicate a 36°C maximum for August 6 under cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet market-implied odds cluster around 37–38°C because ensemble models show modest spread in peak heating tied to variable cloud cover and urban heat island amplification. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any convective development that could cap temperatures, and precise wind speeds modulating advection of warmer air masses. Historical August maxima in Beijing often reach 32–35°C, with recent days near 35°C, underscoring how small shifts in moisture or insolation can separate 36°C from 38°C resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for trader adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 6 de agosto?
37°C 39%
38°C 33%
36°C 14%
39°C 11%
NUEVO
$25,031 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,031 Vol.
6 ago 2026
30°C o menos
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
14%
37°C
39%
38°C
33%
39°C
11%
40°C o más
1%
37°C 39%
38°C 33%
36°C 14%
39°C 11%
NUEVO
$25,031 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,031 Vol.
6 ago 2026
30°C o menos
$343 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$643 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,416 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,708 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,676 Vol.
4%
36°C
$7,408 Vol.
14%
37°C
$4,250 Vol.
39%
38°C
$2,188 Vol.
33%
39°C
$1,674 Vol.
11%
40°C o más
$2,402 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing currently indicate a 36°C maximum for August 6 under cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet market-implied odds cluster around 37–38°C because ensemble models show modest spread in peak heating tied to variable cloud cover and urban heat island amplification. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any convective development that could cap temperatures, and precise wind speeds modulating advection of warmer air masses. Historical August maxima in Beijing often reach 32–35°C, with recent days near 35°C, underscoring how small shifts in moisture or insolation can separate 36°C from 38°C resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$25,031Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing currently indicate a 36°C maximum for August 6 under cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet market-implied odds cluster around 37–38°C because ensemble models show modest spread in peak heating tied to variable cloud cover and urban heat island amplification. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any convective development that could cap temperatures, and precise wind speeds modulating advection of warmer air masses. Historical August maxima in Beijing often reach 32–35°C, with recent days near 35°C, underscoring how small shifts in moisture or insolation can separate 36°C from 38°C resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,031Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing currently indicate a 36°C maximum for August 6 under cloudy skies and light southerly flow, yet market-implied odds cluster around 37–38°C because ensemble models show modest spread in peak heating tied to variable cloud cover and urban heat island amplification. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any convective development that could cap temperatures, and precise wind speeds modulating advection of warmer air masses. Historical August maxima in Beijing often reach 32–35°C, with recent days near 35°C, underscoring how small shifts in moisture or insolation can separate 36°C from 38°C resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key catalysts for trader adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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