Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate afternoon maxima near 37–38°C in Wuhan on August 5 under hazy or overcast skies with isolated thundery showers, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes. In Wuhan's humid subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover typically suppress peaks below historical August extremes that can exceed 40°C, while weak steering patterns and regional moisture limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency with no strong heat dome or clear-sky conditions that would favor 39°C or higher, though minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities within the narrow 37–38°C range before official observations finalize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 5 de agosto?
38°C 64%
37°C 38%
39°C 1.1%
40°C or higher <1%
$24,914 Vol.
$24,914 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
38%
38°C
64%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
38°C 64%
37°C 38%
39°C 1.1%
40°C or higher <1%
$24,914 Vol.
$24,914 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
38%
38°C
64%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate afternoon maxima near 37–38°C in Wuhan on August 5 under hazy or overcast skies with isolated thundery showers, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes. In Wuhan's humid subtropical monsoon climate, high humidity and limited solar heating from cloud cover typically suppress peaks below historical August extremes that can exceed 40°C, while weak steering patterns and regional moisture limit rapid intensification. Recent model runs show consistency with no strong heat dome or clear-sky conditions that would favor 39°C or higher, though minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities within the narrow 37–38°C range before official observations finalize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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