Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 8 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 8 de agosto?
17°C 38%
18°C 37%
16°C 18%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
18%
17°C
38%
18°C
37%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C o más
2%
17°C 38%
18°C 37%
16°C 18%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
11°C o menos
$36 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$178 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$10 Vol.
2%
14°C
$234 Vol.
3%
15°C
$8 Vol.
5%
16°C
$67 Vol.
18%
17°C
$13 Vol.
38%
18°C
$16 Vol.
37%
19°C
$11 Vol.
10%
20°C
$23 Vol.
2%
21°C o más
$28 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$620Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$620Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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