Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 26°C for Paris on August 6 under largely sunny skies following a brief cooldown, positioning 25–26°C as the market leaders with combined 83.5% implied probability. This reflects post-heatwave subsidence and northerly flow moderating temperatures toward seasonal norms of 24–25°C, while limiting afternoon mixing and cloud cover that could cap peaks at 27°C. Recent model runs show low spread on maximum values, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations; traders weigh official forecast updates and any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer moisture as the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 6 de agosto?
25°C 50%
26°C 33%
27°C 11%
24°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,390 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,390 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
50%
26°C
33%
27°C
11%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 33%
27°C 11%
24°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,390 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,390 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
$865 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,334 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$642 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,066 Vol.
8%
25°C
$1,759 Vol.
50%
26°C
$1,313 Vol.
33%
27°C
$1,110 Vol.
11%
28°C
$738 Vol.
2%
29°C
$825 Vol.
1%
30°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,522 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 26°C for Paris on August 6 under largely sunny skies following a brief cooldown, positioning 25–26°C as the market leaders with combined 83.5% implied probability. This reflects post-heatwave subsidence and northerly flow moderating temperatures toward seasonal norms of 24–25°C, while limiting afternoon mixing and cloud cover that could cap peaks at 27°C. Recent model runs show low spread on maximum values, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations; traders weigh official forecast updates and any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer moisture as the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$11,390Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 26°C for Paris on August 6 under largely sunny skies following a brief cooldown, positioning 25–26°C as the market leaders with combined 83.5% implied probability. This reflects post-heatwave subsidence and northerly flow moderating temperatures toward seasonal norms of 24–25°C, while limiting afternoon mixing and cloud cover that could cap peaks at 27°C. Recent model runs show low spread on maximum values, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations; traders weigh official forecast updates and any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer moisture as the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,390Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 26°C for Paris on August 6 under largely sunny skies following a brief cooldown, positioning 25–26°C as the market leaders with combined 83.5% implied probability. This reflects post-heatwave subsidence and northerly flow moderating temperatures toward seasonal norms of 24–25°C, while limiting afternoon mixing and cloud cover that could cap peaks at 27°C. Recent model runs show low spread on maximum values, with only modest upside risk if insolation exceeds expectations; traders weigh official forecast updates and any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer moisture as the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes