Current forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid will reach a high near 38°C on August 8 under clear skies and weak winds, consistent with the market's strong 59% implied probability for that outcome. A rebounding heat pattern across central Spain after an early-month cool spell has pushed temperatures above the 34°C August climatological average, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around the 37–39°C range. Dry conditions and subsidence aloft favor further daytime warming, though any late-model shift in steering flow could cap the peak closer to 37°C. Updated short-range runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 8 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 8 de agosto?
38°C 59%
39°C 21%
37°C 16%
40°C 1.3%
NUEVO
$29,946 Vol.
NUEVO
$29,946 Vol.
8 ago 2026
34°C o menos
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
16%
38°C
59%
39°C
21%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o más
<1%
38°C 59%
39°C 21%
37°C 16%
40°C 1.3%
NUEVO
$29,946 Vol.
NUEVO
$29,946 Vol.
8 ago 2026
34°C o menos
$808 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,624 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,359 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$7,657 Vol.
16%
38°C
$5,597 Vol.
59%
39°C
$6,720 Vol.
21%
40°C
$2,653 Vol.
1%
41°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$650 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$427 Vol.
<1%
44°C o más
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid will reach a high near 38°C on August 8 under clear skies and weak winds, consistent with the market's strong 59% implied probability for that outcome. A rebounding heat pattern across central Spain after an early-month cool spell has pushed temperatures above the 34°C August climatological average, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around the 37–39°C range. Dry conditions and subsidence aloft favor further daytime warming, though any late-model shift in steering flow could cap the peak closer to 37°C. Updated short-range runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$29,946Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid will reach a high near 38°C on August 8 under clear skies and weak winds, consistent with the market's strong 59% implied probability for that outcome. A rebounding heat pattern across central Spain after an early-month cool spell has pushed temperatures above the 34°C August climatological average, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around the 37–39°C range. Dry conditions and subsidence aloft favor further daytime warming, though any late-model shift in steering flow could cap the peak closer to 37°C. Updated short-range runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$29,946Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF indicate Madrid will reach a high near 38°C on August 8 under clear skies and weak winds, consistent with the market's strong 59% implied probability for that outcome. A rebounding heat pattern across central Spain after an early-month cool spell has pushed temperatures above the 34°C August climatological average, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread around the 37–39°C range. Dry conditions and subsidence aloft favor further daytime warming, though any late-model shift in steering flow could cap the peak closer to 37°C. Updated short-range runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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