Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Madrid will experience peak temperatures of 36–37°C on August 9 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit mixing and allow strong daytime heating. Recent runs show minor spread in maximum values due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the exact timing of any thin high cloud, producing the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C. Historical August climatology for Madrid centers near 33–34°C, so current guidance reflects above-average conditions driven by the large-scale pattern. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 9 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 9 de agosto?
37°C 47%
36°C 43%
38°C 8%
35°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
43%
37°C
47%
38°C
8%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 47%
36°C 43%
38°C 8%
35°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
32°C or below
$217 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$277 Vol.
1%
34°C
$264 Vol.
2%
35°C
$582 Vol.
5%
36°C
$462 Vol.
43%
37°C
$907 Vol.
47%
38°C
$245 Vol.
8%
39°C
$454 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Madrid will experience peak temperatures of 36–37°C on August 9 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit mixing and allow strong daytime heating. Recent runs show minor spread in maximum values due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the exact timing of any thin high cloud, producing the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C. Historical August climatology for Madrid centers near 33–34°C, so current guidance reflects above-average conditions driven by the large-scale pattern. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$4,105Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Madrid will experience peak temperatures of 36–37°C on August 9 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit mixing and allow strong daytime heating. Recent runs show minor spread in maximum values due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the exact timing of any thin high cloud, producing the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C. Historical August climatology for Madrid centers near 33–34°C, so current guidance reflects above-average conditions driven by the large-scale pattern. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,105Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Madrid will experience peak temperatures of 36–37°C on August 9 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit mixing and allow strong daytime heating. Recent runs show minor spread in maximum values due to subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and the exact timing of any thin high cloud, producing the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C. Historical August climatology for Madrid centers near 33–34°C, so current guidance reflects above-average conditions driven by the large-scale pattern. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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