Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over western Europe, with southerly flow advecting warmer air masses into the Paris region. This setup supports afternoon maximum temperatures centered on 30–32 °C at official observing sites such as Paris-Montsouris, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (31 °C at 43.5 %, 30 °C at 30.5 %, 32 °C at 21.5 %). Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to suppress the daily high. Urban heat-island effects may locally elevate readings by 1–2 °C, while climatological August averages near 26 °C provide context for the current elevated anomaly. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader consensus anchored to these values ahead of final observational data on August 8.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 8 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 8 de agosto?
31°C 44%
30°C 31%
32°C 21%
29°C 4%
NUEVO
$18,461 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,461 Vol.
8 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
31%
31°C
44%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 31%
32°C 21%
29°C 4%
NUEVO
$18,461 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,461 Vol.
8 ago 2026
25°C or below
$545 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$730 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$747 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3,222 Vol.
4%
30°C
$4,214 Vol.
31%
31°C
$1,162 Vol.
44%
32°C
$4,748 Vol.
21%
33°C
$1,036 Vol.
3%
34°C
$620 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$670 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over western Europe, with southerly flow advecting warmer air masses into the Paris region. This setup supports afternoon maximum temperatures centered on 30–32 °C at official observing sites such as Paris-Montsouris, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (31 °C at 43.5 %, 30 °C at 30.5 %, 32 °C at 21.5 %). Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to suppress the daily high. Urban heat-island effects may locally elevate readings by 1–2 °C, while climatological August averages near 26 °C provide context for the current elevated anomaly. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader consensus anchored to these values ahead of final observational data on August 8.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$18,461Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over western Europe, with southerly flow advecting warmer air masses into the Paris region. This setup supports afternoon maximum temperatures centered on 30–32 °C at official observing sites such as Paris-Montsouris, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (31 °C at 43.5 %, 30 °C at 30.5 %, 32 °C at 21.5 %). Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to suppress the daily high. Urban heat-island effects may locally elevate readings by 1–2 °C, while climatological August averages near 26 °C provide context for the current elevated anomaly. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader consensus anchored to these values ahead of final observational data on August 8.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18,461Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over western Europe, with southerly flow advecting warmer air masses into the Paris region. This setup supports afternoon maximum temperatures centered on 30–32 °C at official observing sites such as Paris-Montsouris, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (31 °C at 43.5 %, 30 °C at 30.5 %, 32 °C at 21.5 %). Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to suppress the daily high. Urban heat-island effects may locally elevate readings by 1–2 °C, while climatological August averages near 26 °C provide context for the current elevated anomaly. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping trader consensus anchored to these values ahead of final observational data on August 8.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes