Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 5 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C and rarely drop below 25°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus at 96% for 27°C reflects this stability in observational data and short-range model runs, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or prolonged heavy rainfall could modestly lower readings, though current guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 5 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 5 de agosto?
27°C 97%
26°C 2%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,489 Vol.
$37,489 Vol.
5 ago 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 2%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,489 Vol.
$37,489 Vol.
5 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$541 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$535 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$924 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,541 Vol.
1%
25°C
$3,903 Vol.
1%
26°C
$6,610 Vol.
2%
27°C
$7,399 Vol.
97%
28°C
$7,037 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,842 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
31°C o más
$1,596 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 5 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C and rarely drop below 25°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus at 96% for 27°C reflects this stability in observational data and short-range model runs, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or prolonged heavy rainfall could modestly lower readings, though current guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$37,489Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 5 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C and rarely drop below 25°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus at 96% for 27°C reflects this stability in observational data and short-range model runs, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or prolonged heavy rainfall could modestly lower readings, though current guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,489Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C for August 5 amid typical summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C and rarely drop below 25°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and the absence of strong cold-air intrusions. Trader consensus at 96% for 27°C reflects this stability in observational data and short-range model runs, with negligible probability assigned to lower thresholds. An unexpected strengthening of onshore flow or prolonged heavy rainfall could modestly lower readings, though current guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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