Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF runs points to a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow delivering peak temperatures of 23–24°C in Helsinki on August 6, aligning with the market’s dominant 53% and 28.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Typical August climatology averages near 19–20°C, so this mild anomaly reflects warmer-than-normal Baltic Sea surface temperatures and limited cloud cover expected through the daytime heating period. Updated short-range guidance released in the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range while trimming odds for 25°C or higher, as any shift in steering winds or increased marine layer moisture could cap readings. Traders are monitoring the next 12-hour model cycle for confirmation ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Helsinki el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Helsinki el 6 de agosto?
24°C 56%
23°C 22%
25°C 14%
26°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
22%
24°C
56%
25°C
14%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C o más
<1%
24°C 56%
23°C 22%
25°C 14%
26°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
18°C o menos
$1,278 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$371 Vol.
2%
22°C
$652 Vol.
3%
23°C
$524 Vol.
22%
24°C
$2,257 Vol.
56%
25°C
$1,343 Vol.
14%
26°C
$1,179 Vol.
4%
27°C
$129 Vol.
1%
28°C o más
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF runs points to a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow delivering peak temperatures of 23–24°C in Helsinki on August 6, aligning with the market’s dominant 53% and 28.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Typical August climatology averages near 19–20°C, so this mild anomaly reflects warmer-than-normal Baltic Sea surface temperatures and limited cloud cover expected through the daytime heating period. Updated short-range guidance released in the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range while trimming odds for 25°C or higher, as any shift in steering winds or increased marine layer moisture could cap readings. Traders are monitoring the next 12-hour model cycle for confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$8,685Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF runs points to a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow delivering peak temperatures of 23–24°C in Helsinki on August 6, aligning with the market’s dominant 53% and 28.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Typical August climatology averages near 19–20°C, so this mild anomaly reflects warmer-than-normal Baltic Sea surface temperatures and limited cloud cover expected through the daytime heating period. Updated short-range guidance released in the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range while trimming odds for 25°C or higher, as any shift in steering winds or increased marine layer moisture could cap readings. Traders are monitoring the next 12-hour model cycle for confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,685Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF runs points to a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow delivering peak temperatures of 23–24°C in Helsinki on August 6, aligning with the market’s dominant 53% and 28.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Typical August climatology averages near 19–20°C, so this mild anomaly reflects warmer-than-normal Baltic Sea surface temperatures and limited cloud cover expected through the daytime heating period. Updated short-range guidance released in the past 24 hours has reinforced this narrow range while trimming odds for 25°C or higher, as any shift in steering winds or increased marine layer moisture could cap readings. Traders are monitoring the next 12-hour model cycle for confirmation ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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