Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather centers on coastal maxima of 32–34°C for Tel Aviv on August 10, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, minimal cloud cover, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that caps extremes. Long-term August averages near 32°C provide baseline context, while short-range ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and low probability of significant warming or cooling shifts before the date. This positioning explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with traders incorporating the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour predictions over the eastern Mediterranean.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 10 de agosto?
34°C 50%
35°C 30%
33°C 19%
37°C 5%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
19%
34°C
50%
35°C
30%
36°C
4%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 50%
35°C 30%
33°C 19%
37°C 5%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
19%
34°C
50%
35°C
30%
36°C
4%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather centers on coastal maxima of 32–34°C for Tel Aviv on August 10, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, minimal cloud cover, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that caps extremes. Long-term August averages near 32°C provide baseline context, while short-range ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and low probability of significant warming or cooling shifts before the date. This positioning explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with traders incorporating the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour predictions over the eastern Mediterranean.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes