The dominant North Pacific High pressure system sustaining South Korea’s ongoing heatwave is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 33–34°C maxima for Incheon on August 10, with implied probabilities reflecting model consensus on continued subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Recent KMA forecasts and heatwave warnings highlight persistent high pressure through mid-August, though slight variations in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, or any weakening ridge could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 29–31°C underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, while short-term ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 10 de agosto?
33°C 32%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
27%
35°C
9%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 32%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
27°C or below
$275 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$27 Vol.
1%
29°C
$27 Vol.
2%
30°C
$9 Vol.
9%
31°C
$3 Vol.
11%
32°C
$66 Vol.
22%
33°C
$108 Vol.
32%
34°C
$15 Vol.
27%
35°C
$1 Vol.
9%
36°C
$49 Vol.
9%
37°C or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant North Pacific High pressure system sustaining South Korea’s ongoing heatwave is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 33–34°C maxima for Incheon on August 10, with implied probabilities reflecting model consensus on continued subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Recent KMA forecasts and heatwave warnings highlight persistent high pressure through mid-August, though slight variations in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, or any weakening ridge could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 29–31°C underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, while short-term ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$609Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant North Pacific High pressure system sustaining South Korea’s ongoing heatwave is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 33–34°C maxima for Incheon on August 10, with implied probabilities reflecting model consensus on continued subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Recent KMA forecasts and heatwave warnings highlight persistent high pressure through mid-August, though slight variations in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, or any weakening ridge could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 29–31°C underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, while short-term ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$609Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant North Pacific High pressure system sustaining South Korea’s ongoing heatwave is the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 33–34°C maxima for Incheon on August 10, with implied probabilities reflecting model consensus on continued subsidence, clear skies, and limited cloud cover that favor strong daytime heating. Recent KMA forecasts and heatwave warnings highlight persistent high pressure through mid-August, though slight variations in wind direction, boundary-layer moisture, or any weakening ridge could shift the exact peak by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 29–31°C underscore how anomalous the current pattern remains, while short-term ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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