Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–33°C on August 12 amid the southwest monsoon, with 25–30% rain chances that typically limit peak solar heating through cloud cover and showers. AccuWeather’s extended August guidance centers on an average high of 31°C, with daily maxima mostly between 29.5–32.4°C, consistent with climatological norms for the rainy season when humidity and frequent convection suppress extremes. No heatwave or clear-sky setup is currently modeled, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 30–31°C and explaining the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Updated model runs and any monsoon intensity shifts over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 12 de agosto?
30°C 42%
31°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
42%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C o más
1%
30°C 42%
31°C 32%
29°C 18%
32°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$445 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$568 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$207 Vol.
1%
28°C
$535 Vol.
4%
29°C
$944 Vol.
18%
30°C
$786 Vol.
42%
31°C
$1,024 Vol.
32%
32°C
$1,396 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,311 Vol.
1%
34°C o más
$291 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–33°C on August 12 amid the southwest monsoon, with 25–30% rain chances that typically limit peak solar heating through cloud cover and showers. AccuWeather’s extended August guidance centers on an average high of 31°C, with daily maxima mostly between 29.5–32.4°C, consistent with climatological norms for the rainy season when humidity and frequent convection suppress extremes. No heatwave or clear-sky setup is currently modeled, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 30–31°C and explaining the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Updated model runs and any monsoon intensity shifts over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$7,775Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–33°C on August 12 amid the southwest monsoon, with 25–30% rain chances that typically limit peak solar heating through cloud cover and showers. AccuWeather’s extended August guidance centers on an average high of 31°C, with daily maxima mostly between 29.5–32.4°C, consistent with climatological norms for the rainy season when humidity and frequent convection suppress extremes. No heatwave or clear-sky setup is currently modeled, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 30–31°C and explaining the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Updated model runs and any monsoon intensity shifts over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,775Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila indicate daytime highs near 30–33°C on August 12 amid the southwest monsoon, with 25–30% rain chances that typically limit peak solar heating through cloud cover and showers. AccuWeather’s extended August guidance centers on an average high of 31°C, with daily maxima mostly between 29.5–32.4°C, consistent with climatological norms for the rainy season when humidity and frequent convection suppress extremes. No heatwave or clear-sky setup is currently modeled, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 30–31°C and explaining the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Updated model runs and any monsoon intensity shifts over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes