Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures of 27–29°C for August 11 under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with urban heat-island effects and the absence of significant frontal systems or typhoon influences keeping readings elevated relative to seasonal baselines around 26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 29°C aligns with the latest multi-model guidance showing minimal downward revisions, while lower outcomes like 28°C or 27°C carry smaller probabilities amid forecast uncertainty that could shift with updated runs or local observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 11 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 11 de agosto?
29°C 45%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$12,605 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,605 Vol.
11 ago 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
22%
29°C
45%
30°C
28%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
<1%
29°C 45%
30°C 28%
28°C 22%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
$12,605 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,605 Vol.
11 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$619 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,037 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$938 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,203 Vol.
22%
29°C
$2,820 Vol.
45%
30°C
$2,561 Vol.
28%
31°C
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$667 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$598 Vol.
<1%
34°C o más
$603 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures of 27–29°C for August 11 under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with urban heat-island effects and the absence of significant frontal systems or typhoon influences keeping readings elevated relative to seasonal baselines around 26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 29°C aligns with the latest multi-model guidance showing minimal downward revisions, while lower outcomes like 28°C or 27°C carry smaller probabilities amid forecast uncertainty that could shift with updated runs or local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$12,605Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures of 27–29°C for August 11 under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with urban heat-island effects and the absence of significant frontal systems or typhoon influences keeping readings elevated relative to seasonal baselines around 26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 29°C aligns with the latest multi-model guidance showing minimal downward revisions, while lower outcomes like 28°C or 27°C carry smaller probabilities amid forecast uncertainty that could shift with updated runs or local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,605Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures of 27–29°C for August 11 under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus supports this range, with urban heat-island effects and the absence of significant frontal systems or typhoon influences keeping readings elevated relative to seasonal baselines around 26°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 29°C aligns with the latest multi-model guidance showing minimal downward revisions, while lower outcomes like 28°C or 27°C carry smaller probabilities amid forecast uncertainty that could shift with updated runs or local observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes