Recent forecasts for Warsaw on August 12, 2026, center on highs of 23–25°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes where 23°C holds the highest implied probability. Mid-August climatology in Poland’s temperate continental regime typically features daytime maxima near 23°C under decreasing solar angles and moderating jet stream patterns, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate showing mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress temperatures. No recent heatwave or cold front has altered this baseline, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these probabilities if model runs shift wind or moisture profiles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 12 de agosto?
23°C 47%
24°C 32%
25°C 12%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
47%
24°C
32%
25°C
12%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 32%
25°C 12%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
18°C or below
$60 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$72 Vol.
3%
22°C
$337 Vol.
8%
23°C
$598 Vol.
47%
24°C
$271 Vol.
32%
25°C
$336 Vol.
12%
26°C
$729 Vol.
3%
27°C
$27 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$103 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw on August 12, 2026, center on highs of 23–25°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes where 23°C holds the highest implied probability. Mid-August climatology in Poland’s temperate continental regime typically features daytime maxima near 23°C under decreasing solar angles and moderating jet stream patterns, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate showing mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress temperatures. No recent heatwave or cold front has altered this baseline, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these probabilities if model runs shift wind or moisture profiles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$2,779Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Warsaw on August 12, 2026, center on highs of 23–25°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes where 23°C holds the highest implied probability. Mid-August climatology in Poland’s temperate continental regime typically features daytime maxima near 23°C under decreasing solar angles and moderating jet stream patterns, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate showing mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress temperatures. No recent heatwave or cold front has altered this baseline, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these probabilities if model runs shift wind or moisture profiles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,779Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Warsaw on August 12, 2026, center on highs of 23–25°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes where 23°C holds the highest implied probability. Mid-August climatology in Poland’s temperate continental regime typically features daytime maxima near 23°C under decreasing solar angles and moderating jet stream patterns, with model consensus from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate showing mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would suppress temperatures. No recent heatwave or cold front has altered this baseline, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the seasonal norm rather than extremes. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these probabilities if model runs shift wind or moisture profiles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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