Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus indicate a peak temperature of 28°C in Istanbul on August 12, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and moderating Bosphorus sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with historical August climatology showing average daily maxima of 28–30°C without active heat domes or cold fronts. Recent stable conditions and minimal model spread reinforce trader positioning around 28°C (57.5% implied probability) and 29°C (23%), while lower outcomes reflect uncertainty in localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 12 de agosto?
28°C 56%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
18%
28°C
56%
29°C
24%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 56%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
23°C or below
$163 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$181 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,063 Vol.
18%
28°C
$1,230 Vol.
56%
29°C
$511 Vol.
24%
30°C
$136 Vol.
4%
31°C
$169 Vol.
1%
32°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus indicate a peak temperature of 28°C in Istanbul on August 12, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and moderating Bosphorus sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with historical August climatology showing average daily maxima of 28–30°C without active heat domes or cold fronts. Recent stable conditions and minimal model spread reinforce trader positioning around 28°C (57.5% implied probability) and 29°C (23%), while lower outcomes reflect uncertainty in localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$4,551Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus indicate a peak temperature of 28°C in Istanbul on August 12, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and moderating Bosphorus sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with historical August climatology showing average daily maxima of 28–30°C without active heat domes or cold fronts. Recent stable conditions and minimal model spread reinforce trader positioning around 28°C (57.5% implied probability) and 29°C (23%), while lower outcomes reflect uncertainty in localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,551Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus indicate a peak temperature of 28°C in Istanbul on August 12, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and moderating Bosphorus sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with historical August climatology showing average daily maxima of 28–30°C without active heat domes or cold fronts. Recent stable conditions and minimal model spread reinforce trader positioning around 28°C (57.5% implied probability) and 29°C (23%), while lower outcomes reflect uncertainty in localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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