Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts supporting afternoon highs near 90–93°F in Central Park on August 10. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those bins, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions and limited cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze or widespread convection. Key variables include exact timing of any afternoon thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and 850 hPa temperatures that could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Updated short-range runs from NOAA later today and early tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 10 de agosto?
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 12%
88-89°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
85°F o menos
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F o más
<1%
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 12%
88-89°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
85°F o menos
$139 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$60 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$272 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$111 Vol.
35%
92-93°F
$185 Vol.
41%
94-95°F
$168 Vol.
12%
96-97°F
$59 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$555 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$293 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$186 Vol.
<1%
104°F o más
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts supporting afternoon highs near 90–93°F in Central Park on August 10. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those bins, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions and limited cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze or widespread convection. Key variables include exact timing of any afternoon thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and 850 hPa temperatures that could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Updated short-range runs from NOAA later today and early tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$2,254Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts supporting afternoon highs near 90–93°F in Central Park on August 10. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those bins, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions and limited cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze or widespread convection. Key variables include exact timing of any afternoon thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and 850 hPa temperatures that could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Updated short-range runs from NOAA later today and early tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,254Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast, with ensemble forecasts supporting afternoon highs near 90–93°F in Central Park on August 10. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those bins, reflecting above-average late-summer conditions and limited cooling mechanisms such as sea-breeze or widespread convection. Key variables include exact timing of any afternoon thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and 850 hPa temperatures that could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Updated short-range runs from NOAA later today and early tomorrow will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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