Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 9 point to a high in the upper 70s, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow, and limited daytime heating despite an active El Niño pattern keeping regional waters warm. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the most probable outcome, consistent with observed temperatures near 76-80°F in recent similar coastal days and the 51% market-implied probability. The secondary 76-77°F and 80-81°F outcomes reflect residual model spread on exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and morning soundings tomorrow will refine these ranges ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 9 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 9 de agosto?
78-79°F 52%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
52%
80-81°F
21%
82-83 °F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 52%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
71°F o menos
$256 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$89 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$293 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$2,407 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$1,083 Vol.
52%
80-81°F
$797 Vol.
21%
82-83 °F
$362 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$157 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$276 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,257 Vol.
<1%
90°F o más
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 9 point to a high in the upper 70s, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow, and limited daytime heating despite an active El Niño pattern keeping regional waters warm. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the most probable outcome, consistent with observed temperatures near 76-80°F in recent similar coastal days and the 51% market-implied probability. The secondary 76-77°F and 80-81°F outcomes reflect residual model spread on exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and morning soundings tomorrow will refine these ranges ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$8,607Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 9 point to a high in the upper 70s, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow, and limited daytime heating despite an active El Niño pattern keeping regional waters warm. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the most probable outcome, consistent with observed temperatures near 76-80°F in recent similar coastal days and the 51% market-implied probability. The secondary 76-77°F and 80-81°F outcomes reflect residual model spread on exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and morning soundings tomorrow will refine these ranges ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,607Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for downtown Los Angeles and LAX on August 9 point to a high in the upper 70s, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow, and limited daytime heating despite an active El Niño pattern keeping regional waters warm. This setup favors the 78-79°F bin as the most probable outcome, consistent with observed temperatures near 76-80°F in recent similar coastal days and the 51% market-implied probability. The secondary 76-77°F and 80-81°F outcomes reflect residual model spread on exact cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated NWS briefings and morning soundings tomorrow will refine these ranges ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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