Current ensemble forecasts place Beijing’s August 10 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s °C, with 32–34 °C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities because numerical weather prediction models show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly flow. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, urban heat-island amplification, and scattered showers—limit further warming, while any increase in cloud cover or earlier rainfall could cap the peak near 32 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the date, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these central outcomes rather than extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 10 de agosto?
33°C 31%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
35°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
28°C o menos
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
23%
33°C
31%
34°C
27%
35°C
12%
36°C
6%
37°C
6%
38°C o más
1%
33°C 31%
34°C 27%
32°C 23%
35°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
28°C o menos
$23 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
23%
33°C
$10 Vol.
31%
34°C
$7 Vol.
27%
35°C
$2 Vol.
12%
36°C
$1 Vol.
6%
37°C
$12 Vol.
6%
38°C o más
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts place Beijing’s August 10 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s °C, with 32–34 °C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities because numerical weather prediction models show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly flow. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, urban heat-island amplification, and scattered showers—limit further warming, while any increase in cloud cover or earlier rainfall could cap the peak near 32 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the date, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these central outcomes rather than extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$71Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts place Beijing’s August 10 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s °C, with 32–34 °C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities because numerical weather prediction models show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly flow. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, urban heat-island amplification, and scattered showers—limit further warming, while any increase in cloud cover or earlier rainfall could cap the peak near 32 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the date, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these central outcomes rather than extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$71Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts place Beijing’s August 10 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s °C, with 32–34 °C outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities because numerical weather prediction models show modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly flow. Typical late-summer conditions—high humidity, urban heat-island amplification, and scattered showers—limit further warming, while any increase in cloud cover or earlier rainfall could cap the peak near 32 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the date, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these central outcomes rather than extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes