Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Beijing's August 9 high will likely fall in the 31–33°C range, reflecting near-term atmospheric stability with limited monsoon moisture influx and moderate southerly flow. This produces the tight market spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical early-August baselines near 31°C and small positive anomalies from urban heat effects. Ensemble spread remains modest at this lead time, though afternoon convection or shifts in the subtropical ridge could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts will provide the next resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 9 de agosto?
32°C 30%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 9%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
27%
32°C
30%
33°C
20%
34°C
13%
35°C o más
3%
32°C 30%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 9%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
27%
32°C
30%
33°C
20%
34°C
13%
35°C o más
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Beijing's August 9 high will likely fall in the 31–33°C range, reflecting near-term atmospheric stability with limited monsoon moisture influx and moderate southerly flow. This produces the tight market spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes, consistent with historical early-August baselines near 31°C and small positive anomalies from urban heat effects. Ensemble spread remains modest at this lead time, though afternoon convection or shifts in the subtropical ridge could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official 48-hour forecasts will provide the next resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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