Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 14 maximum temperature will likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooler-than-average pattern driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the close 37% and 28% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August highs average 22–23°C, but recent days have shown suppressed readings around 14–19°C due to transient high pressure and limited solar heating. Key differentiators between adjacent thresholds include precise timing of any afternoon clearing and local urban heat effects, with official station data from sources like Roshydromet determining resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 14 de agosto?
18°C 37%
17°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
13°C o menos
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
17%
17°C
28%
18°C
37%
19°C
16%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C o más
<1%
18°C 37%
17°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
13°C o menos
$365 Vol.
1%
14°C
$723 Vol.
3%
15°C
$65 Vol.
4%
16°C
$617 Vol.
17%
17°C
$1,237 Vol.
28%
18°C
$693 Vol.
37%
19°C
$827 Vol.
16%
20°C
$90 Vol.
3%
21°C
$129 Vol.
1%
22°C
$90 Vol.
1%
23°C o más
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 14 maximum temperature will likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooler-than-average pattern driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the close 37% and 28% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August highs average 22–23°C, but recent days have shown suppressed readings around 14–19°C due to transient high pressure and limited solar heating. Key differentiators between adjacent thresholds include precise timing of any afternoon clearing and local urban heat effects, with official station data from sources like Roshydromet determining resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$4,991Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 14 maximum temperature will likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooler-than-average pattern driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the close 37% and 28% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August highs average 22–23°C, but recent days have shown suppressed readings around 14–19°C due to transient high pressure and limited solar heating. Key differentiators between adjacent thresholds include precise timing of any afternoon clearing and local urban heat effects, with official station data from sources like Roshydromet determining resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,991Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 14 maximum temperature will likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooler-than-average pattern driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the close 37% and 28% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August highs average 22–23°C, but recent days have shown suppressed readings around 14–19°C due to transient high pressure and limited solar heating. Key differentiators between adjacent thresholds include precise timing of any afternoon clearing and local urban heat effects, with official station data from sources like Roshydromet determining resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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