Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 13 de agosto?
33°C 42%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
31%
33°C
42%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
27°C or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$949 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$640 Vol.
3%
31°C
$360 Vol.
6%
32°C
$316 Vol.
31%
33°C
$1,351 Vol.
42%
34°C
$254 Vol.
20%
35°C
$654 Vol.
4%
36°C
$190 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$5,444Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,444Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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