Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 13 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid summer air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers. This setup aligns with August climatology where average lows hover near 70°F, though current conditions suppress typical nighttime drops. The closely matched market-implied odds between 72-73°F and 74-75°F reflect uncertainty in exact minimums tied to cloud cover timing and any convective activity, with shorter-range updates from NOAA expected to refine resolution criteria based on official Central Park observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 13 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 13 de agosto?
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 38%
70-71°F 15%
76-77°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
61°F o menos
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80°F o más
1%
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 38%
70-71°F 15%
76-77°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
61°F o menos
$42 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$42 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$42 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$155 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$187 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$828 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$717 Vol.
38%
76-77°F
$150 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$420 Vol.
1%
80°F o más
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 13 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid summer air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers. This setup aligns with August climatology where average lows hover near 70°F, though current conditions suppress typical nighttime drops. The closely matched market-implied odds between 72-73°F and 74-75°F reflect uncertainty in exact minimums tied to cloud cover timing and any convective activity, with shorter-range updates from NOAA expected to refine resolution criteria based on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$2,625Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 13 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid summer air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers. This setup aligns with August climatology where average lows hover near 70°F, though current conditions suppress typical nighttime drops. The closely matched market-implied odds between 72-73°F and 74-75°F reflect uncertainty in exact minimums tied to cloud cover timing and any convective activity, with shorter-range updates from NOAA expected to refine resolution criteria based on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,625Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate overnight lows in New York City on August 13 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by a persistent warm, humid summer air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible scattered showers. This setup aligns with August climatology where average lows hover near 70°F, though current conditions suppress typical nighttime drops. The closely matched market-implied odds between 72-73°F and 74-75°F reflect uncertainty in exact minimums tied to cloud cover timing and any convective activity, with shorter-range updates from NOAA expected to refine resolution criteria based on official Central Park observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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