Current forecast consensus from regional models and monitoring agencies points to a Shanghai minimum temperature near 26–27°C on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where overnight lows rarely drop below the mid-20s absent clear skies or stronger cold advection. Recent observations through August 12–13 show daily minima holding at 25–27°C amid similar overcast and thundery weather, reinforcing trader positioning around these outcomes while leaving modest room for variance if drier air arrives. Upcoming model updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the 48-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 14 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 14 de agosto?
26°C 44%
27°C 31%
25°C 12%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
12%
26°C
44%
27°C
31%
28°C
10%
29°C
7%
30°C o más
<1%
26°C 44%
27°C 31%
25°C 12%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$45 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$25 Vol.
1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
5%
24°C
$25 Vol.
5%
25°C
$45 Vol.
12%
26°C
$116 Vol.
44%
27°C
$20 Vol.
31%
28°C
$50 Vol.
10%
29°C
$68 Vol.
7%
30°C o más
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models and monitoring agencies points to a Shanghai minimum temperature near 26–27°C on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where overnight lows rarely drop below the mid-20s absent clear skies or stronger cold advection. Recent observations through August 12–13 show daily minima holding at 25–27°C amid similar overcast and thundery weather, reinforcing trader positioning around these outcomes while leaving modest room for variance if drier air arrives. Upcoming model updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$513Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models and monitoring agencies points to a Shanghai minimum temperature near 26–27°C on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where overnight lows rarely drop below the mid-20s absent clear skies or stronger cold advection. Recent observations through August 12–13 show daily minima holding at 25–27°C amid similar overcast and thundery weather, reinforcing trader positioning around these outcomes while leaving modest room for variance if drier air arrives. Upcoming model updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$513Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models and monitoring agencies points to a Shanghai minimum temperature near 26–27°C on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where overnight lows rarely drop below the mid-20s absent clear skies or stronger cold advection. Recent observations through August 12–13 show daily minima holding at 25–27°C amid similar overcast and thundery weather, reinforcing trader positioning around these outcomes while leaving modest room for variance if drier air arrives. Upcoming model updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the 48-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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