Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor a highest temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on August 14, aligning with the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from a passing frontal system or residual moisture are key variables capping daytime maxima, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow urban heat island effects and solar heating to push readings to 31°C or higher. Historical mid-August baselines average near 31°C, but 2026 conditions reflect typical late-summer variability where humidity, wind shifts, and precipitation timing create narrow uncertainty bands. Updated short-range guidance from Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 14 de agosto?
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
19%
29°C
40%
30°C
30%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
24°C or below
$73 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$191 Vol.
4%
28°C
$67 Vol.
19%
29°C
$398 Vol.
40%
30°C
$10 Vol.
30%
31°C
$107 Vol.
9%
32°C
$54 Vol.
2%
33°C
$12 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$213 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor a highest temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on August 14, aligning with the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from a passing frontal system or residual moisture are key variables capping daytime maxima, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow urban heat island effects and solar heating to push readings to 31°C or higher. Historical mid-August baselines average near 31°C, but 2026 conditions reflect typical late-summer variability where humidity, wind shifts, and precipitation timing create narrow uncertainty bands. Updated short-range guidance from Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,134Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor a highest temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on August 14, aligning with the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from a passing frontal system or residual moisture are key variables capping daytime maxima, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow urban heat island effects and solar heating to push readings to 31°C or higher. Historical mid-August baselines average near 31°C, but 2026 conditions reflect typical late-summer variability where humidity, wind shifts, and precipitation timing create narrow uncertainty bands. Updated short-range guidance from Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,134Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns currently favor a highest temperature of 29–30°C in Shanghai on August 14, aligning with the tight market clustering around these outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected from a passing frontal system or residual moisture are key variables capping daytime maxima, while any clearing or reduced rainfall could allow urban heat island effects and solar heating to push readings to 31°C or higher. Historical mid-August baselines average near 31°C, but 2026 conditions reflect typical late-summer variability where humidity, wind shifts, and precipitation timing create narrow uncertainty bands. Updated short-range guidance from Chinese Meteorological Administration runs and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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