Current Met Office forecasts indicate a peak of 32°C in London on August 14 under persistent high pressure advecting warm continental air, following an exceptional summer heatwave that has already positioned 2026 as potentially the UK's warmest on record. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C because ensemble models show minor variations in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze or thin cloud development that could shave or add 1°C. Historical August maxima near 30–32°C provide context, while the urban heat-island effect and precise station measurement add further uncertainty; any revised model run or observational update before resolution could readily shift odds between these adjacent bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 14 de agosto?
33°C 33%
32°C 31%
31°C 18%
34°C 13%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
31%
33°C
33%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 33%
32°C 31%
31°C 18%
34°C 13%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
31%
33°C
33%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office forecasts indicate a peak of 32°C in London on August 14 under persistent high pressure advecting warm continental air, following an exceptional summer heatwave that has already positioned 2026 as potentially the UK's warmest on record. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C because ensemble models show minor variations in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze or thin cloud development that could shave or add 1°C. Historical August maxima near 30–32°C provide context, while the urban heat-island effect and precise station measurement add further uncertainty; any revised model run or observational update before resolution could readily shift odds between these adjacent bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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