Mild overnight conditions under a warm, humid air mass are anchoring trader expectations for a minimum temperature in New York City on August 12 near 72–75°F, with the closely matched 74–75°F and 72–73°F outcomes reflecting subtle differences in model guidance on radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points limit nighttime temperature drops, while variable cloud cover and light winds could either enhance or suppress the typical 8–12°F diurnal range seen in mid-August climatology. Recent National Weather Service outlooks and ensemble runs show no strong frontal passages or dry-air intrusions that would allow deeper cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-70°F readings low. Upcoming model updates and local observations through the evening of August 11 will refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 12 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 12 de agosto?
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 35%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
63°F o menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67 °F
3%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o más
<1%
72-73°F 36%
74-75°F 35%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
63°F o menos
$422 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$22 Vol.
<1%
66-67 °F
$74 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$84 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$100 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$500 Vol.
36%
74-75°F
$768 Vol.
35%
76-77°F
$16 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$654 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$999 Vol.
<1%
82°F o más
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild overnight conditions under a warm, humid air mass are anchoring trader expectations for a minimum temperature in New York City on August 12 near 72–75°F, with the closely matched 74–75°F and 72–73°F outcomes reflecting subtle differences in model guidance on radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points limit nighttime temperature drops, while variable cloud cover and light winds could either enhance or suppress the typical 8–12°F diurnal range seen in mid-August climatology. Recent National Weather Service outlooks and ensemble runs show no strong frontal passages or dry-air intrusions that would allow deeper cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-70°F readings low. Upcoming model updates and local observations through the evening of August 11 will refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$3,912Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild overnight conditions under a warm, humid air mass are anchoring trader expectations for a minimum temperature in New York City on August 12 near 72–75°F, with the closely matched 74–75°F and 72–73°F outcomes reflecting subtle differences in model guidance on radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points limit nighttime temperature drops, while variable cloud cover and light winds could either enhance or suppress the typical 8–12°F diurnal range seen in mid-August climatology. Recent National Weather Service outlooks and ensemble runs show no strong frontal passages or dry-air intrusions that would allow deeper cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-70°F readings low. Upcoming model updates and local observations through the evening of August 11 will refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,912Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mild overnight conditions under a warm, humid air mass are anchoring trader expectations for a minimum temperature in New York City on August 12 near 72–75°F, with the closely matched 74–75°F and 72–73°F outcomes reflecting subtle differences in model guidance on radiative cooling. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points limit nighttime temperature drops, while variable cloud cover and light winds could either enhance or suppress the typical 8–12°F diurnal range seen in mid-August climatology. Recent National Weather Service outlooks and ensemble runs show no strong frontal passages or dry-air intrusions that would allow deeper cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-70°F readings low. Upcoming model updates and local observations through the evening of August 11 will refine these distinctions ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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