Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw's August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. Model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for 23 °C or below modest while capping upside risk above 26 °C absent a sudden high-pressure shift. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, with implied odds reflecting the narrow temperature range expected before any final model updates on the 12th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 13 de agosto?
24°C 43%
25°C 29%
23°C 24%
22°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
24%
24°C
43%
25°C
29%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C o más
<1%
24°C 43%
25°C 29%
23°C 24%
22°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$33 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$380 Vol.
1%
22°C
$289 Vol.
6%
23°C
$172 Vol.
24%
24°C
$430 Vol.
43%
25°C
$252 Vol.
29%
26°C
$26 Vol.
5%
27°C
$28 Vol.
2%
28°C
$12 Vol.
1%
29°C
$31 Vol.
1%
30°C o más
$185 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw's August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. Model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for 23 °C or below modest while capping upside risk above 26 °C absent a sudden high-pressure shift. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, with implied odds reflecting the narrow temperature range expected before any final model updates on the 12th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,838Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw's August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. Model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for 23 °C or below modest while capping upside risk above 26 °C absent a sudden high-pressure shift. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, with implied odds reflecting the narrow temperature range expected before any final model updates on the 12th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,838Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw's August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. Model runs show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities for 23 °C or below modest while capping upside risk above 26 °C absent a sudden high-pressure shift. Traders appear to weight these stable conditions heavily, with implied odds reflecting the narrow temperature range expected before any final model updates on the 12th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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