Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show minimum temperatures in Paris on August 13 centered near 20–22 °C, driven by continued warm-air advection under high pressure and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling amid above-average seasonal baselines. An active El Niño phase, with 80 % likelihood through JJA 2026 per WMO updates, reinforces widespread positive temperature anomalies across Europe, elevating overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of 15–16 °C. Short-range model consensus and the absence of incoming Atlantic fronts through mid-month underpin trader positioning around 21 °C as the mode, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns keeps secondary probabilities on 19–20 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 13 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 13 de agosto?
21°C 51%
20°C 18%
22°C 12%
19°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o menos
5%
19°C
11%
20°C
18%
21°C
51%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
21°C 51%
20°C 18%
22°C 12%
19°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o menos
$70 Vol.
5%
19°C
$164 Vol.
11%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$7 Vol.
51%
22°C
$187 Vol.
13%
23°C
$33 Vol.
7%
24°C
$301 Vol.
2%
25°C
$361 Vol.
1%
26°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
28°C o más
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show minimum temperatures in Paris on August 13 centered near 20–22 °C, driven by continued warm-air advection under high pressure and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling amid above-average seasonal baselines. An active El Niño phase, with 80 % likelihood through JJA 2026 per WMO updates, reinforces widespread positive temperature anomalies across Europe, elevating overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of 15–16 °C. Short-range model consensus and the absence of incoming Atlantic fronts through mid-month underpin trader positioning around 21 °C as the mode, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns keeps secondary probabilities on 19–20 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,408Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show minimum temperatures in Paris on August 13 centered near 20–22 °C, driven by continued warm-air advection under high pressure and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling amid above-average seasonal baselines. An active El Niño phase, with 80 % likelihood through JJA 2026 per WMO updates, reinforces widespread positive temperature anomalies across Europe, elevating overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of 15–16 °C. Short-range model consensus and the absence of incoming Atlantic fronts through mid-month underpin trader positioning around 21 °C as the mode, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns keeps secondary probabilities on 19–20 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,408Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show minimum temperatures in Paris on August 13 centered near 20–22 °C, driven by continued warm-air advection under high pressure and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling amid above-average seasonal baselines. An active El Niño phase, with 80 % likelihood through JJA 2026 per WMO updates, reinforces widespread positive temperature anomalies across Europe, elevating overnight lows several degrees above the long-term August average of 15–16 °C. Short-range model consensus and the absence of incoming Atlantic fronts through mid-month underpin trader positioning around 21 °C as the mode, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns keeps secondary probabilities on 19–20 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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