Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and international model guidance shows Tokyo's overnight low on August 13 hovering near 22–24°C, driving the near-even split between 23°C and 24°C market shares. Persistent high humidity and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties in minimum readings at official stations. Normal August lows average 23–24°C, but any clearer skies or reduced rainfall overnight could push the reading toward 22°C, whereas thicker cloud decks favor the higher end. Updated forecasts and JMA briefings through August 12 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 13 de agosto?
23°C 43%
24°C 40%
22°C 16%
25°C 5%
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
16%
23°C
43%
24°C
40%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C o más
<1%
23°C 43%
24°C 40%
22°C 16%
25°C 5%
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
16%
23°C
43%
24°C
40%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency and international model guidance shows Tokyo's overnight low on August 13 hovering near 22–24°C, driving the near-even split between 23°C and 24°C market shares. Persistent high humidity and scattered showers limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties in minimum readings at official stations. Normal August lows average 23–24°C, but any clearer skies or reduced rainfall overnight could push the reading toward 22°C, whereas thicker cloud decks favor the higher end. Updated forecasts and JMA briefings through August 12 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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