Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin projects a daily high near 99–101°F on August 14 under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting southerly flow, elevated humidity, and limited afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, when the seasonal peak averages 99°F and 100°F readings occur frequently without strong disturbances. Minor model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influences creates the close contest between the 98–99°F (42.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%) bins, while keeping 100–101°F at just 11% implied probability. Fresh overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 14 de agosto?
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
87°F or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$32 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$35 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$28 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$82 Vol.
35%
98-99°F
$304 Vol.
50%
100-101°F
$55 Vol.
12%
102-103°F
$23 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$125 Vol.
3%
106°F o más
$275 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin projects a daily high near 99–101°F on August 14 under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting southerly flow, elevated humidity, and limited afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, when the seasonal peak averages 99°F and 100°F readings occur frequently without strong disturbances. Minor model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influences creates the close contest between the 98–99°F (42.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%) bins, while keeping 100–101°F at just 11% implied probability. Fresh overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$983Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin projects a daily high near 99–101°F on August 14 under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting southerly flow, elevated humidity, and limited afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, when the seasonal peak averages 99°F and 100°F readings occur frequently without strong disturbances. Minor model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influences creates the close contest between the 98–99°F (42.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%) bins, while keeping 100–101°F at just 11% implied probability. Fresh overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$983Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Austin projects a daily high near 99–101°F on August 14 under a persistent subtropical ridge promoting southerly flow, elevated humidity, and limited afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology, when the seasonal peak averages 99°F and 100°F readings occur frequently without strong disturbances. Minor model spread on cloud cover and any weak frontal influences creates the close contest between the 98–99°F (42.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%) bins, while keeping 100–101°F at just 11% implied probability. Fresh overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide key updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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