Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 15 de agosto?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,891 Vol.
$39,891 Vol.
15 ago 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,891 Vol.
$39,891 Vol.
15 ago 2026
22°C or below
$433 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,081 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,024 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,138 Vol.
No
26°C
$14,216 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,227 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$4,236 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,509 Vol.
No
30°C
$313 Vol.
No
31°C
$342 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$372 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$39,891Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$39,891Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate Istanbul is tracking toward a daily maximum of 27°C on August 15 under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northeasterly winds that limit convective heating. Long-term August climatology supports this range, with typical highs near 27–29°C and minimal deviation expected absent unusual moisture influx. Trader consensus at 100% for 27°C reflects convergence across multiple model runs and real-time station data, underscoring low uncertainty for this resolution threshold. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast localized warming could still push readings slightly higher before sunset, though such developments appear improbable given the current synoptic setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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