Forecasts from major models position 26°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's daily maximum on August 16, 2026, with 27°C a close second, reflecting ensemble consensus around the long-term August average of 27–28°C. Moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph combined with mostly cloudy skies and sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus are expected to limit daytime heating under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Recent observational trends and updated model runs show no significant deviation from historical norms or intensification of heat, keeping higher outcomes like 28°C or above at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting these moderating factors heavily as resolution nears, with the next official forecast updates likely to refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 16 de agosto?
26°C 65%
27°C 18%
25°C 15%
24°C 3%
NUEVO
$13,278 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,278 Vol.
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
65%
27°C
18%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 65%
27°C 18%
25°C 15%
24°C 3%
NUEVO
$13,278 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,278 Vol.
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
$744 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$880 Vol.
1%
24°C
$470 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,730 Vol.
15%
26°C
$3,423 Vol.
65%
27°C
$3,782 Vol.
18%
28°C
$544 Vol.
3%
29°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$657 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$202 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models position 26°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's daily maximum on August 16, 2026, with 27°C a close second, reflecting ensemble consensus around the long-term August average of 27–28°C. Moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph combined with mostly cloudy skies and sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus are expected to limit daytime heating under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Recent observational trends and updated model runs show no significant deviation from historical norms or intensification of heat, keeping higher outcomes like 28°C or above at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting these moderating factors heavily as resolution nears, with the next official forecast updates likely to refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$13,278Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from major models position 26°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's daily maximum on August 16, 2026, with 27°C a close second, reflecting ensemble consensus around the long-term August average of 27–28°C. Moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph combined with mostly cloudy skies and sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus are expected to limit daytime heating under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Recent observational trends and updated model runs show no significant deviation from historical norms or intensification of heat, keeping higher outcomes like 28°C or above at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting these moderating factors heavily as resolution nears, with the next official forecast updates likely to refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,278Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from major models position 26°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's daily maximum on August 16, 2026, with 27°C a close second, reflecting ensemble consensus around the long-term August average of 27–28°C. Moderate northeasterly winds of 15–20 mph combined with mostly cloudy skies and sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus are expected to limit daytime heating under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Recent observational trends and updated model runs show no significant deviation from historical norms or intensification of heat, keeping higher outcomes like 28°C or above at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting these moderating factors heavily as resolution nears, with the next official forecast updates likely to refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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