Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for August 16 place New York City overnight lows primarily in the 68–72°F range, aligning with the market’s leading 72–73°F (47.5%) and 70–71°F (35%) bins. These probabilities reflect recent model runs showing partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and minimal nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects, rather than any unusual synoptic setup. Climatological normals for mid-August in Central Park hover near 70°F, providing a baseline that current guidance tracks closely. Updated NWS short-range products and any overnight model shifts will be the key catalysts for further market movement ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 16 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 16 de agosto?
72-73°F 47%
70-71°F 34%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
63°F o menos
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F o más
<1%
72-73°F 47%
70-71°F 34%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
63°F o menos
$5 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$40 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
34%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
47%
74-75°F
$33 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
1%
82°F o más
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for August 16 place New York City overnight lows primarily in the 68–72°F range, aligning with the market’s leading 72–73°F (47.5%) and 70–71°F (35%) bins. These probabilities reflect recent model runs showing partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and minimal nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects, rather than any unusual synoptic setup. Climatological normals for mid-August in Central Park hover near 70°F, providing a baseline that current guidance tracks closely. Updated NWS short-range products and any overnight model shifts will be the key catalysts for further market movement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$98Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for August 16 place New York City overnight lows primarily in the 68–72°F range, aligning with the market’s leading 72–73°F (47.5%) and 70–71°F (35%) bins. These probabilities reflect recent model runs showing partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and minimal nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects, rather than any unusual synoptic setup. Climatological normals for mid-August in Central Park hover near 70°F, providing a baseline that current guidance tracks closely. Updated NWS short-range products and any overnight model shifts will be the key catalysts for further market movement ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$98Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for August 16 place New York City overnight lows primarily in the 68–72°F range, aligning with the market’s leading 72–73°F (47.5%) and 70–71°F (35%) bins. These probabilities reflect recent model runs showing partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and minimal nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects, rather than any unusual synoptic setup. Climatological normals for mid-August in Central Park hover near 70°F, providing a baseline that current guidance tracks closely. Updated NWS short-range products and any overnight model shifts will be the key catalysts for further market movement ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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