Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to overnight lows near 68–70°F in New York City on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-60s, supporting the market's heaviest trading on the 70–71°F bin. Mid-August climatology features average Central Park lows around 68°F, but persistent above-normal warmth tied to a strengthening El Niño pattern and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover and urban heat retention have nudged expectations slightly higher. Recent forecasts show no significant cold advection or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 60s to low 70s while leaving room for minor revisions ahead of final observational data from LaGuardia or Central Park stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de agosto?
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
57°F o menos
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
5%
76°F o más
1%
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
57°F o menos
$300 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$281 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$573 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$278 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$419 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$201 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$193 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$424 Vol.
48%
72-73°F
$316 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$297 Vol.
5%
76°F o más
$433 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to overnight lows near 68–70°F in New York City on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-60s, supporting the market's heaviest trading on the 70–71°F bin. Mid-August climatology features average Central Park lows around 68°F, but persistent above-normal warmth tied to a strengthening El Niño pattern and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover and urban heat retention have nudged expectations slightly higher. Recent forecasts show no significant cold advection or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 60s to low 70s while leaving room for minor revisions ahead of final observational data from LaGuardia or Central Park stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$3,716Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to overnight lows near 68–70°F in New York City on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-60s, supporting the market's heaviest trading on the 70–71°F bin. Mid-August climatology features average Central Park lows around 68°F, but persistent above-normal warmth tied to a strengthening El Niño pattern and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover and urban heat retention have nudged expectations slightly higher. Recent forecasts show no significant cold advection or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 60s to low 70s while leaving room for minor revisions ahead of final observational data from LaGuardia or Central Park stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,716Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus points to overnight lows near 68–70°F in New York City on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-60s, supporting the market's heaviest trading on the 70–71°F bin. Mid-August climatology features average Central Park lows around 68°F, but persistent above-normal warmth tied to a strengthening El Niño pattern and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover and urban heat retention have nudged expectations slightly higher. Recent forecasts show no significant cold advection or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 60s to low 70s while leaving room for minor revisions ahead of final observational data from LaGuardia or Central Park stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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